What's Going On?
Shortly before the 2016 presidential election, Trump agreed, if elected, to lift United States sanctions on Russian individuals and entities in return for a 19% interest (worth 12 Billion Dollars) in Rosneft, Russia’s largest oil and gas company. Trump made a deal for an old fashioned, garden variety bribe of a public official.
A BRIBE scenario explains Trump’s constant fawning over Vladimir Putin. A BRIBE scenario explains Trump’s refusal to punish Russia for interference in the 2016 election and Trump’s refusal to do anything to deter and/or prevent future cyber-attacks by Russia.
A BRIBE scenario explains Trump’s unprecedented attacks on the free press (over 250 tweets attacking the press), his attacks on the F.B.I.(the agency charged with the duty to investigate bribes of public officials), his attacks on the United States Department of Justice (the agency charged with the prosecution of corrupt public officials) and his attacks on the C.I.A (the agency charged with protecting the United States from attacks by foreign countries like Russia).
A BRIBE scenario explains two secret high level efforts by Trump’s team to establish secret back-channel communications with Putin. A back-channel is needed because Trump hasn’t lifted Obama’s sanctions on Russia and Putin has yet to deliver full control of the Rosneft interest to Trump. It is an ongoing crime.
A BRIBE scenario explains Trump's five private/secret meetings with Putin (no other Americans present; not even Secretary of State) in Hamburg, Vietnam, Helsinki, Paris, Buenos Aries.
Look over there. Don’t look over here.
Media personalities and their guests, including members of Congressional Committees, repeatedly say Trump’s refusal to punish Putin for his interference in the 2016 elections or to take actions to deter and/or prevent Putin from interfering in future elections is either (1) “inexplicable” or (2) that “the Russians must have something on him”, i.e. another sex scandal or some other form of kompromat (a Russian political term short for "compromising material").
Bribery is a more likely explanation for Trump’s refusal to confront the Russians. In return for the potential of a 12 Billion Dollar interest in Rosneft, as detailed below, or a building permit for a Trump Tower in Moscow, Trump may well have agreed to lift Obama’s sanctions on Russia.
Unlike kompromat, bribery is not merely embarrassing, it is a crime against the United States under 18 U.S.C. 201. A BRIBE is also grounds for impeachment. Art. II, Sec 4. U.S. Constitution.
What is bribery?
"Whoever being a public official or person selected to be a public official, directly or indirectly, corruptly demands, seeks, receives, accepts, or agrees to receive or accept anything of value personally or for any other person or entity, in return for:
- being influenced in the performance of any official act;
- being influenced to commit or aid in committing, or to collude in, or allow, any fraud, or make opportunity for the commission of any fraud, on the United States; or
- being induced to do or omit to do any act in violation of the official duty of such official or person;
A Timeline of Known Facts...
Pre-Election
November
Trump Wins 2016 Presidential Election
December
2017
January
July
2018
April
June
July
August
The Collusion Conclusion
If you wonder why Trump never criticizes Putin, often actually praises Putin and trusts Putin more than he trusts Americans with long and stellar reputations in law enforcement and in defending our country, I think I have provided a plausible answer.
Trump made a deal with Putin for a 12 billion dollar bribe for the lifting of the 2014 sanctions Obama imposed on certain individuals and entities (including Rosneft by name) in Russia. Trump’s deal has not been consummated and has been made more difficult to consummate by the sanctions imposed by Obama after the election on December 29, 2016 and by the sanctions adopted by Congress in early August 2017.
Trump has been unable to lift the Obama sanctions and couldn’t prevent the adoption of the new Congressional sanctions legislation. But Trump has 12 billion reasons to keep trying. And he will until he is stopped.
Foot Note 1:
“Tillerson’s business ties with the Kremlin were long-standing and warm. (In 2011, he brokered a historic partnership between ExxonMobil and Rosneft.) After the election, Congress imposed additional sanctions on Russia, in retaliation for its interference,[summer of 2017] but Trump and Tillerson have resisted implementing them. [From New Yorker 3/5/18 article about Steele].